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When Will The Fed Finally Raise Rates?
Tweet Share on Facebook April 28, 2010 Comment (5)In a move that most experts expected, the Federal Reserve decided today to leave the target for the federal funds rate—what the Fed charges banks to borrow money on a short-term basis—between zero and 0.25 percent, where it has been since December 2008. The Fed also repeated its pledge to keep rates low for an "extended period."
Although it's uncertain how long this extended period will last, few are expecting a rate hike in the near future. "Everyone knows rates can't stay this low forever," says Doug Harsham, vice president of municipal trading at Raymond James. "It's just a question of when it's going to change and how drastically."
[See the Best Mutual Funds for 2010.]
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What Investors Can Expect From Large-Growth Funds
Tweet Share on Facebook April 22, 2010 Comment (1)Large-growth stock funds are typically a rather aggressive asset class. Investors will find funds in this category that double in value one year then lose a third of it in the next. Navigating this large asset class can be tricky, but there are large-growth funds that perform well in up markets and do a decent job protecting against the downside.
[Use our Mutual Fund Score to find the best investments for you.]
These funds should generally be reserved for younger investors with a long time horizon because at times their returns can be volatile. “In the long-term, they may offer a little better returns potentially but also more downside risk in the short term,” says Morningstar analyst David Kathman. If you’re nearing retirement and your primary goal is preservation of capital, Kathman says these funds may not be for you.
To understand the up-and-down nature of the category, it’s important to examine the types of companies that managers generally choose. They are stocks of large, well-established companies that are generally growing their earnings faster than other companies in the same industry. Generally, growth stocks are considered more risky than value stocks, which are shares of companies that are believed to be undervalued and therefore good long-term investments.
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Emerging Markets' Growth: Is it Sustainable?
Tweet Share on Facebook April 16, 2010 Comment (1)Riding a wave of job creation and robust demand for exports, emerging markets are continuing to grow at a considerable clip, according to a recent report by HSBC. The report, which contains a new reading from the bank’s emerging markets index, also offers encouraging predictions about the sustainability of expansion in the developing world.
[Use our Mutual Fund Score to find the best investments for you.]
The index takes into account surveys conducted in 14 emerging markets. For the first quarter of 2010, the index clocks in at 57.4, up from 56.3 for the last quarter of 2009. Any reading of above 50 suggests growth.
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Why The Mutual Fund Industry Is Highly Competitive
Tweet Share on Facebook April 9, 2010 Comment (2)The mutual fund industry is always evolving, and the authors of a new book titled, The Mutual Fund Industry: Competition and Investor Welfare, say it has become a highly competitive industry. They reviewed studies that eventually became the basis for legislation like the Investment Company Act of 1940 that concluded that price competition didn't exist in the mutual fund industry. Over time, the authors argue, the industry has changed dramatically, and they believe the older studies are no longer relevant. They concluded that average investors have plenty of options to choose from and increased competition has led to lower fees on average. U.S. News caught up with Stanley Ornstein, one of the book's co-authors and vice president of Analysis Group, to get his take on the state of the mutual fund industry. Excerpts:
[See U.S. News's list of the Best Mutual Funds for 2010, and use our Mutual Fund Score to find the best investments for you.]
What prompted you to write this book?
Analysis Group was contacted by some investment advisory firms five or six years ago that were facing some of these lawsuits, and they asked us to do a study of the mutual fund industry. … We were struck by the fact that the basis for this law was based on mutual fund data in the 1950s and '60s, and the mutual fund industry had changed so drastically since that time we felt the conclusions reached at that time could very well be no longer applicable today. In the early '60s there were about 100 mutual funds. Today, there's more than 8,000 mutual funds. Maybe there were 50 investment advisers [in the 1960s]. Today there's about 600. … That's the motivation for doing the book.
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Are Your Funds Keeping You From Becoming a Millionaire?
Tweet Share on Facebook April 6, 2010 Comment (5)Mutual funds can drain upwards of $1 million from an investor's retirement savings over the course of several decades, according to a recent study. The study, conducted by MarketRiders, a company whose website helps investors build exchange-traded fund portfolios, provides a unique long-term glimpse into the corrosive effect of mutual funds’ fees.
[See U.S. News's list of the Best Mutual Funds for 2010, and use our Mutual Fund Score to find the best investments for you.]
“Fees are recurring revenue [for fund companies],” says MarketRiders CEO Mitch Tuchman. “They’re just siphoned out of accounts in ways that one cannot [easily] see. It’s an insidious process.”
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5 World Bond Funds That Diversify and Cut Risk
Tweet Share on Facebook April 1, 2010 CommentAs the global economy digs out of the financial crisis, investors may be wondering where in the world to put their money. For fixed-income investors, world bond funds offer diversification with investments in a broad range of different countries and sectors, mitigating the risks involved if some countries default on their debt.
[See U.S. News’s list of the Best Mutual Funds for 2010 and use our Mutual Fund Score to find the best investments for you.]
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday ended its massive mortgage buying program, fueling a rally in the bond markets and attracting investors. But some experts think the rally might be over. “I think it remains to be seen what the effect is, but so far, so good,” says Ken Buntrock, co-manager of the Loomis Sayles Global Bond Fund. “This is just one of several programs that the government did, and they’re slowly withdrawing this liquidity from the marketplace.” If the economy and housing markets recover, the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates—but that won’t be until at least the beginning of 2011, Buntrock says. In Europe, the situation is more dire. Greece and Portugal have seen their debt downgraded, and there are even concerns that the European Union and the International Monetary Fund will have to bail Greece out so that the country doesn’t default on its debt. The amount of sovereign debt—or debt issued by governments—is a growing concern in many developed nations.
[See How Greece’s Debt Crises Affects America.]
If investors buy bond funds that exclusively focus on the U.S., they may be missing out on opportunities elsewhere. “Global bond funds can be a very important piece of your portfolio because you’re going to get exposure around the globe for various types of growth, wherever growth might occur,” says Andrew Gotfried, director of mutual fund research for Raymond James. “We like global bond funds because to go and get the fixed-income vehicles around the globe individually is very difficult for the average investor, and the global bond fund is a great vehicle to get that kind of exposure.”
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Funds for Reentering the Stock Market
Tweet Share on Facebook April 1, 2010 CommentAs the economy crawls along into the second quarter, there’s no shortage of mixed signals for investors looking to get a sense of how much steam is left in the rally. For instance, with unemployment rates hovering around 10 percent, it’s become increasingly clear that the anemic job market will continue to put a damper on growth for the foreseeable future. Meanwhile, as a debt crisis rages throughout parts of the eurozone, investors are tempering their expectations for the global economy.
[See U.S. News's list of the Best Mutual Funds for 2010, and use our Mutual Fund Score to find the best investments for you.]
But at the same time, the first quarter was hardly a bust for the U.S. stock market, which has grown at a respectable clip so far this year. Notably, the S&P 500 shot up by 4.9 percent during the first quarter. That represents the index’s best first-quarter performance since 1998. And even though the Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped below 10,000 in February, it’s now pushing up against 11,000.













