Dude, Where’s My Recession?: The Series

July 8, 2008 RSS Feed Print

Here's what the folks over at Macroeconomic Advisers are saying after feeding the latest data into their computer model:

Nonautomotive wholesale inventories were revised up for April and rose more than we had assumed in May. Therefore, we raised our tracking estimate of GDP growth in the second quarter by one-tenth to 3.0%.

But again, I am not saying we are in some sort of economic boom. I think John McCain has it about right. This is what he told MSNBC this morning:

I would imagine that, technically, there is some question amongst economists about that, but the fact is Americans are hurting, they are hurting badly...Eighty-some percent of the American people think the country is on the wrong track, approval ratings of Congress—I saw one poll, 12 percent, the lowest in 40 years...If we're technically in a recession or not, I would imagine that we are...but the major thing is that Americans are hurting and Americans don't like it and they think America is in the wrong direction.

Tags:
economy,
recession,
GDP

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Just for a laugh, I occasionally take a look at this blog just to assure myself that there are people dumber than I am.

It is striking that you continue to spout the notion that because the country isn't officially in "recession," that somehow your readers should take heart and go out and buy, buy, buy because, after all, the 25 year "long boom" -- the result of the glorious Reagan era -- is bound to persist.

You have been saying this at least since last summer, when you claimed that the downturn in the housing market wasn't big enough to take down an otherwise "strong" economy. In that time, the average real estate or stock market investor who followed your advice would have lost some 20% or more of their investments.

All I can say is that I hope you were taking your own advice and buying houses and banking stocks last summer.

Sara Bellum of TX 7:41PM July 10, 2008

Capital Commerce

Capital Commerce

U.S. News business reporter Matthew Bandyk examines the issues, people, and debates that shape the nexus of political and economic life in the nation's capital.

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