Are Americans Really Getting Poorer?

July 25, 2008 RSS Feed Print
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Some fine research from the Tax Foundation provides a nice reality check on the claim that Americans are poorer now than in 2000. Depending on how you measure income, the median household income fell by 3.8 percent from 2000 to 2006...or it rose by 3.1 percent ...or it did something in between.

Then there is this: Is it fair to use the year 2000 as a baseline year when incomes were inflated by a stock market bubble? My pal Jared Bernstein, an economist over at the Economic Policy Institute and author of a book on the so-called middle-class squeeze, said the following in front of a congressional panel this week:

The regulatory agenda is ultimately targeted at the longer-term problem of what might be called the shampoo economy of the last few business cycles, with their pattern of "bubble, bust, repeat." The last two, and possibly three, recessions were caused by bubbles that were fairly widely recognized as they inflated. Yet key policymakers ignored the signs, in some cases even nudging the bubbles along by endorsing the practices that inflated them. The economic pain caused by the inevitable implosion was, and is, deep. It is a major contributor to the middle-class squeeze, all the more unfortunate in that this economic pain is largely self-inflicted.

So isn't a bubbly 2000 thus a terrible year to use as a benchmark? Of course, many of the people saying Americans have gotten poorer since 2000 also say they have gotten poorer since the 1970s.

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SteveL, while you are correct on HMOs, you are totally wrong on pensions and the "post-industrial" American society. Technological progress and increased education in America has moved us from manufacturing and heavy industry to services. By the by, trade deficits are not bad. It simply means we import more than we export. It also means that foreigners value American made goods less than they value American made services (if you look at our deficit closely, you will see that America export its services moreso than its goods). It's why manufacturers value a weak dollar more than a strong one.

Pensions are not a guarantee. Pensions sounded nice when America was the primary competitor in many industries; now, pensions can be a drag on company growth and competitiveness (not to mention a drag on employee productivity). Pensions are subject to the full faith and credit of company. If that company folds or suffer hard times, pensions can take a hit. However, 401(k)s and IRAs are owned by the employee and are portable. Sure, if you are not prudent your 401(k) can take a hit, but most 401(k)s and IRAs now possess target funds that automatically switch from aggressive to conservative over time, depending on the fund setup. These funds are also professionally managed so that contributors don't have to mess with them.

Job security is a myth and has always been a myth. It is up to the individual employee to do what he/she can to make themselves productive and useful employees to his/her company.

Chris of AZ 7:39PM July 26, 2008

The American people have been the victims of several "bait-and-switch" schemes since the 1970s:

In the 1970s, we were told that manufacturing and heavy industry were passe; America would be a far better "post-industrial" society of knowledge workers in high-tech offices. Now we're seeing what can go wrong with that, with nearly permanent trade deficits.

In the 1970s, we were told that the newfangled "Health Maintenance Organizations (HMOs)" were just an alternative option to traditional fee-for-service medicine, a reasonable option for healthy young people. Now they've totally replaced fee-for-service medicine, even for elderly people battling chronic illness, for which their own proponents had said they were not really suited.

In the 1970s, we were told that IRA and 401(k) plans would be just a nice option to have for one's retirement nest egg, alongside traditional defined-benefit pension plans. Now the 401(k) has largely replaced the pension plan, adding a huge amount of risk to each worker's retirement planning.

Each time, the American public has lost a little bit more of the job security and "social contract" it once enjoyed.

SteveL of MA 11:24AM July 26, 2008

Umm, Fatesrider, why wasn't the regulator that was supposed regulate Fannie and Freddie not regulating them? Why is the Fed not doing its job of regulating the value of the dollar and inflation? Regulation does more harm than good, even when it is designed with the best of intentions. You are exactly right that government is reactive as opposed to proactive. Why do you think that is? And you're naive if you think regulation does not hurt consumers.

Chris of AZ 5:39PM July 25, 2008

Capital Commerce

U.S. News business reporter Matthew Bandyk examines the issues, people, and debates that shape the nexus of political and economic life in the nation's capital.

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