The Fed and the Zero Handle

September 17, 2008 RSS Feed Print

When I noticed just now that the three-month treasury bill was, like, almost 0.00%—actually 0.04%—it did not compute. What that means is that people are desperate to find super-safe places to park their money. (That fear can also be seen in the $80-plus jump today in the price of gold, considered the ultimate safe haven.) There is a now a nearly 2 percentage point spread between three-month T-bills and the federal funds rate. Economist extraordinaire Mike Darda makes an interesting point: "There were similar inversions between T-bills and Fed funds during the crises/recessions of 1973-1974 and in 1980-81 just before large reductions in the Fed funds rate took place. If the Fed were to follow the T-bill yield down, the funds rate would now land at zero." Me: If a fed rate cut was what it took to fix things, I am sure Bernanke would have rather done that than launch rescues of Wall Street firms.

Tags:
Federal Reserve,
interest rates

Reader Comments Read all comments (2)

Add Your Thoughts
Your comment will be posted immediately, unless it is spam or contains profanity. For more information, please see our Comments FAQ.

is still pushing a string. M1 is flat to down. Potential borrowers don't want the risk of debt and banks don't want the risk of lending. Rates won't do it. And lower rates aren't really needed with the real economy growing at 3%, just a reality check in the credit markets.

Tom Hanna of MO 10:54PM September 17, 2008

We need zero interest rates like we need to all be shot.

Rates are too low, not too high. Same with taxes.

As for T-bills having no risk, it's nuts. The whole USA government is the next AIG. No, they don't default. They just devalue your money to print more.

Fed funds and 3-month bills should both be 5%. The dollar is losing value at that rate----at least.

of 4:18PM September 17, 2008

Capital Commerce

Capital Commerce

U.S. News business reporter Matthew Bandyk examines the issues, people, and debates that shape the nexus of political and economic life in the nation's capital.

advertisement

advertisement