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I think one of the most unreliable indicators of the polls has been Obama running so many points ahead of Kerry, even in blue states. I just cannot see how he would do so, except perhaps in Illinois. I don't know what it is, but something is rotten in Denmark.

On the other hand, the polls all show McCain almost uniformly doing more poorly than Bush 2004. For that reason, alone, it seems hard to envision a McCain popular vote victory.

While this may be a divisive result for the country, I see a 2-3 percent popular vote victory for Obama, on the strength of huge margins in CA, IL and NY, but a narrow electoral vote victory for McCain, who ekes out victories in enough of the red and battleground states, including FL, to be elected.

Sam of TX 4:40PM November 04, 2008

Took a group of ladies out today to the local Cathedral. We said a rosary and heard mass praying for the LIFE candidate to win. John McCain. We had already participated in early voting, so we had the time today to pray. I feel like John McCain will win, but it is the power of prayer that will lurch him over the finish line.

Patricia Good of TX 4:38PM November 04, 2008

I'm going to keep this mr pethoukis just to demonstrate what a complete ass you are.

John of CT 4:32PM November 04, 2008

Drink the kool-aid and dream on about a McCain victory. The GOP and McCain have run a dismal campaign based on fear and have no vision for the future. Both parties have played us and now we will get 'THE ONE' we deserve. Four years from now we all can make better choices.

kwh of NC 4:30PM November 04, 2008

Here is the speech to watch:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3vMfCv5J0g8&eurl=http://corner.nationalreview.com/

Chris O. of 4:24PM November 04, 2008

If Obama wins, I think it will signify a permanent, subtle shift in America towards what could be called "Socialism Light", with an outright Marxist President Obama and an intensely liberal Congress setting the tone for the next thirty years.

The corrupt and arrogant Republican Party brought this on us all, even if a very great many of us don't deserve to be punished for the political foolishness of the majority.

Crafty Huunter of NY 4:19PM November 04, 2008

God help us if you are right .... could the last 8 years have possibley ended any worse?

Bobby Cobb of AR 4:16PM November 04, 2008

I see this day, finally A victory for Mccain. At last, (almost to late) they see how much Obama likes the Hammer & scikel.

Robert Banks of MO 4:10PM November 04, 2008

I see this day, finally A victory for Mccain. At last, (almost to late) they see how much Obama likes the Hammer & scikel.

Robert Banks of MO 4:10PM November 04, 2008

I think this last day is the life saver for Mccain. More and more people at the last miunet sees Obama for really is A die hard socialist

Robert Banks of MO 4:06PM November 04, 2008

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Capital Commerce

U.S. News business reporter Matthew Bandyk examines the issues, people, and debates that shape the nexus of political and economic life in the nation's capital.

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