At least this is the best guess of Alec Phillips at Goldman Sachs, who figures a $600 billion stimulus package over two years. These are numbers for the 2009, $350 billion installment:
1) Transport-related infrastructure (rail and highways): $45 billion
2) Traditional non-transports infrastructure (water, schools): $30 billion
3) Non-traditional infrastructure (broadband, green energy):$57 billion
4) Benefit programs (extended unemployment, food stamps): $29 billion
5) Aid to states (Medicaid, block grants): $60 billion
6) Tax-related stimulus (credits): $130 billion
Me: Interestingly, Phillips assumes that Obama's middle-class tax cut will be for just 2009. Zippo for 2010. Also, he notes that most of the dough for what he calls the "high multiplier" items -- infrastructure -- will be spent in 2010. "While infrastructure is likely to be largest item in any stimulus package, the majority of these funds are likely to be spent in 2010 given the limited amount of “shovel ready projects." So much for next year, I guess. And again, the lack of major tax cuts just screams out at me.

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j. Russell of DE 3:07PM January 25, 2009
HillbillyBill of TN 8:59AM December 12, 2008
Richard Antoniotti of NJ 11:17PM December 11, 2008