Federal Reserve: Terrible Economic Pain To Come

April 8, 2009 RSS Feed Print
  • Comment (5)

Here is what staff economists at the Federal Reserve think about where the economy is heading (via today's release of the FOMC minutes from March):

The staff's projections for real GDP in the second half of 2009 and in 2010 were revised down, with real GDP expected to flatten out gradually over the second half of this year and then to expand slowly next year as the stresses in financial markets ease, the effects of fiscal stimulus take hold, inventory adjustments are worked through, and the correction in housing activity comes to an end. The weaker trajectory of real output resulted in the projected path of the unemployment rate rising more steeply into early next year before flattening out at a high level over the rest of the year.

Me: This is no V-shaped recovery. This is an exteremly gloomy forecast. Should be fun for incumbents on Election Day, 2010. Also expect to hear calls for a second stimulus package and against raising taxes in 2011.

Reader Comments Read all comments (5)

Add Your Thoughts
Your comment will be posted immediately, unless it is spam or contains profanity. For more information, please see our Comments FAQ.

"The staff's projections for real GDP in the second half of 2009 and in 2010 were revised down, with real GDP expected to flatten out gradually over the second half of this year..."

OKAY - no gloom and doom - and no depression.

"...and then to expand slowly next year as the stresses in financial markets ease, the effects of fiscal stimulus take hold, inventory adjustments are worked through, and the correction in housing activity comes to an end."

OKAY - natural and government induced market corrections will gradually ease the downturn and the economy will begin to recover.

"The weaker trajectory of real output resulted in the projected path of the unemployment rate rising more steeply into early next year before flattening out at a high level over the rest of the year."

OKAY - the unemployment rate continue to rise during the first part of 2010 but will flatten out at a high rate for the rest of the year. But no prediction of runaway unemployment, runaway inflation or depression!

I CAN LIVE WITH THAT! And I trust to the vast majority of Americans, THAT'S GOOD NEWS because LIGHT CAN BE SEEN AT THE END OF THE TUNNEL and the tunnel opening appears a lot closer.

THAT'S GOOD NEWS James Pethokoukis and not the "extremely gloomy forecast" you opined. Don't be so negative! Now, if only we could muster more confidence in the FEDS - whose monetary policy actually set the stage for our current state of economic affairs.

Tony Lee of CA 4:23PM April 09, 2009

Who controls Federal reserve?

Submitted by Tore Toivicco

Who controls Federal reserve?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NzLIz27GqWs

Most important question in US history?

http://www.usagold.com/federalreserve.html

Federal reserve controls US income/ finance?

http://www.scionofzion.com/federalreserve.htm

Is Ron Paul talking about this?

-Tore 'Federal reserve' Toivicco

Tore 'Federal reserve' Toivicco 8:53AM April 09, 2009

Who controls Federal reserve?

Submitted by Tore Toivicco

Who controls Federal reserve?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NzLIz27GqWs

Most important question in US history?

http://www.usagold.com/federalreserve.html

Federal reserve controls US income/ finance?

http://www.scionofzion.com/federalreserve.htm

Is Ron Paul talking about this?

-Tore 'Federal reserve' Toivicco

-Tore 'Federal reserve' Toivicco 8:50AM April 09, 2009

Capital Commerce

U.S. News business reporter Matthew Bandyk examines the issues, people, and debates that shape the nexus of political and economic life in the nation's capital.

advertisement

advertisement