Bad Economy Good For A Lower Trade Deficit

July 10, 2009 RSS Feed Print

We've heard speculation that the U.S. trade deficit is a big problem that maybe even led to the recession. But if you really want to reduce the trade deficit, the last year has shown that recessions are a very effective way to balance things out. As unemployment is rising and retail spending is falling, the trade deficit has hit its lowest level in nine years:

The Commerce Department said Friday the deficit narrowed to $26 billion, a drop of 9.8 percent from April and the lowest level since November 1999. Economists expected the deficit to widen to $30.2 billion in May.

This is not to say that a large trade deficit is a good thing. What's clear, however, is that even though we hear about so much, the size of the trade deficit one way or the other really tells us very little about the health of the economy.

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The trade deficit alone may not be the most insightful measure of economic conditions, I agree, however it can be quite useful when combined with certain other aspects of a contry's balance of trade.

The trade deficit, a component of a country's balance of payments (BOP), can be used, along with other current account data (services trade, income, and current transfers), capital account and financial account balances to obtain very useful economic information. The trade deficit is a component of the balance of payments and when analyzed in that context it can be used to shed light on GDP, exchange rates, interest rates and inflation rates.

P.D of MI 10:53AM January 26, 2010

Capital Commerce

Capital Commerce

U.S. News business reporter Matthew Bandyk examines the issues, people, and debates that shape the nexus of political and economic life in the nation's capital.

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