iPhone Touch Screen is Showing the Way

November 7, 2008 RSS Feed Print
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The iPhone 3G.

The iPhone 3G.

It's all about touch, it seems. The iPhone's intuitive touch screen has made Apple's once-nervy goal of selling 10 million iPhones this year now look laughable. The company blew through that mark after a boffo third quarter, selling 6.9 million of the handsets in those three months alone, say analysts at Canalys. Next comes the holiday-pumped fourth quarter.

Apple displaced the touchless BlackBerry in second place for worldwide smart phone sales. Research in Motion sold 6.1 million BlackBerrys. Nokia retained its long running leading spot. But it has been slow to get a modern touch-screen phone to market, and is the only major maker to see smart phone sales actually fall.

Further proof on how much we like finger-smudged displays: A Canalys survey suggests three quarters of consumers want a screen they can tap, at least in the European countries where the marketing firm surveyed.

Touch alone won't bring market dominance. Handsets powered by Microsoft, with tap-powered phones sold by a variety of makers, rose 14 percent in the quarter. But that trailed the overall market, which saw smart phone sales jump 28 percent.

RIM could recapture second place this quarter. The company is releasing new phones after some delays, Canalys notes, including this week's Bold and the upcoming BlackBerry Storm -- with its touch screen.

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Touch screens have been on the market for YEARS... the iPhone MultiTouch screen may appear to be the same on the surface but it's radically different technology. (Speaking of surface, Microsoft's Surface uses yet another type of technology.)

The other handset makers are banking on this confusion as they scramble in the labs to make a multi-touch screen that works as well as Apple's that can control a UI that's as smooth and simple to use as Apple's... and do it faster than Apple did... without stepping on Apple patents filed four years ago when the iPhone was just a rumor.

Steve Jobs wasn't shooting for the stars when he said 10 million units, and he wasn't exaggerating to say that Apple was 5 years ahead in technology.

Some may narrow the gap, but 15 months into the race it doesn't look good for the competition as poll after poll puts iPhone as the lust-object of the vast majority of the people actually spending money and not just blowing smoke on a blog.

I say iPhone's first REAL competition is still a year away, perhaps even 18 months.

Tedious of WA 4:12PM November 07, 2008

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