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April 1, 2009
The oldest baby boomers will turn 65 in less than two years. And that’s just the beginning of what Urban Institute researchers are calling a “tsunami of senior growth in the next decade”. The senior population is expected to grow by 36 percent between 2010 and 2020.
This graying of America won’t be spread evenly across the map. The numbers will grow the most rapidly in the intermountain west, the southeast, and especially in Texas, according to a new Brookings Institution analysis. The cities that have gained the most baby boomers so far this decade provide a clue as to which cities will have the most seniors in the next decade, say researchers William Frey, Alan Berube, Audrey Singer, and Jill Wilson. For example, the Urban Institute predicts that Georgia’s senior population will increase by 40 percent between 2010 and 2020 due to the aging in place of baby boomers alone, and only an additional 4 percent will be due to the in-migration of people age 65 and over.