Bailout Impact: Libor Improving

October 20, 2008 RSS Feed Print
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Although we've seen some counterproductive fallout from the $700 billion financial bailout, the efforts of governments around the world to unlock credit markets have produced some encouraging results as well.

Below is a table from acrossthecurve.com, which shows that Libor rates—a key measure of interbank lending—have begun easing. The movement demonstrates that banks are growing less terrified—at least for now—of lending to one another. This is a key step in the recuperation of the credit markets.

From acrossthecurve.com, via Paul Krugman's blog:

  10/20 10/17 Change
OVERNIGHT 1.51250 1.66875 -.15625
1 WEEK 2.71875 3.15625 -.43750
2 WEEKS  3.08125 3.49375 -.41250
1 MONTH 3.75125 4.18125 -.43000
2 MONTH 3.93375 4.30625 -.37250
3 MONTH 4.05875 4.41875 -.36000
4 MONTH 3.99250 4.29500 -.30250
5 MONTH 3.90125 4.20375 -.30250
6 MONTH 3.82875 4.13000 -.30125
9 MONTH 3.76875 4.02250 -.25375
12 MONTH 3.71250 3.97250 -.26000
 
 

While the rates are still very high, the direction of their movement is encouraging.

Bloomberg has more:

Money-market rates fell, extending last week's declines, as governments bailed out banks and policy makers intensified efforts to combat the freeze in lending with cash injections.

The London interbank offered rate, or Libor, that banks charge each other for three-month loans in dollars slid 36 basis points to 4.06 percent today, the biggest drop in nine months, according to the British Bankers' Association. The overnight-dollar rate declined 16 basis points to 1.51 percent, the lowest level in more than four years.

Tags:
Libor,
London,
banking

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I am one of the many people that have a home mortgage tied to the LIBOR. Mine is a 6-month LIBOR. So, I have a vested interest in this. For obvious reasons, I like that it is coming down. I make the same payment every month, so the lower the LIBOR, the more principal comes off. I disagree with the previous comment, because if the rates go up, an already bad problem with foreclosures will get worse. Rates need to stay low for a while so that some of these loans can either get re-financed, or paid off. Now, I agree that you can't keep low rates forever. However, it is going to take quite some time for this problem to work itself out. People like me who pay their mortgages need to be given time to get their mortgages caught up with falling home values.

Scott of OH 2:41PM October 20, 2008

The key question citizens ought to be asking about this is:

If banks are borrowing from each other at about 4% for three months (see above), then why are they only offering to borrow from citizens for three months at rates between two and three percent? My local paper has a table today of 14 local banks offering rates for 3-month certificates of deposit.

All fourteen are between 2 and 3 percent.

Rates have been held too low too long in America. This is the root of our current mess---including the stock bubble of 1999 and the housing bubble of 2006.

of 12:53PM October 20, 2008

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