Many Homeowners Still in Denial About Prices

October 31, 2008 RSS Feed Print
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Despite all the noise about the national housing crisis, many Americans remain naively optimistic about the value of their properties.

That's the gist of a survey recently released by Zillow:

This quarter, 49 percent of homeowners said they think their own home's value has increased or stayed the same over the past year. However, nearly three-quarters (74 percent) of homes have lost value in the past 12 months, according to preliminary analysis of Zillow's Q3 Real Estate Market Reports, which will be released Nov. 12...

Homeowners are not quite as confident as they were in the second quarter, when 62 percent said their homes either increased in value or remained the same, but a significant gap between the reality of home values and homeowners' perceptions persists. This is despite the timing of the survey - it was fielded from Oct. 7 to 9, during the worst week in stock market history...

"After one of the most turbulent quarters in history for the U.S. economy and housing market, you'd expect the reality of dropping home values to start sinking in," said Dr. Stan Humphries, Zillow vice president of data and analytics. "We are seeing some movement toward more accurate perceptions of home value declines, but there's still a significant gap between reality and perception. We're seeing a fascinating distinction in consumer psychology - on the one hand, homeowners appear to understand the reality of today's economy and are curbing their household spending, but on the other hand they still aren't ready to admit that these woes might extend to their own homes. There's clearly still some denial."

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housing market,
housing,
real estate

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It's a pleasant form of denial, to have a fantasy about what the house might be worth, as long as you're not pressed to sell anytime soon.

I hear on the news that 1 house in 5 now has a mortgage balance due that is bigger than the current value. If this is true, then prices have a way to go yet---down.

The trick is how to keep people in them, rather than kicking the occupants out so investors can snatch them up at half price.

But people willingly PAID too much, you say.

Yeah, they did. 'Twas hard to find one to buy that was not overpriced (in retrospect) during 2004-2006, and even several years before in some markets.

of 2:47PM October 31, 2008

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