Pending Home Sales Hit New Lows

March 3, 2009 RSS Feed Print
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The National Association of Realtors said Tuesday that pending home sales fell again in January, dropping more than 6 percent from a year earlier to the lowest level since 2001, when the trade group began tracking the figures.

The slowdown in sales comes as NAR's housing affordability index hit a fresh all time high.

“Housing affordability is at a record high – the buying power of a typical family has risen significantly,” NAR President Charles McMillan said in a press release. “With the drop in interest rates, a median-income family can afford a home costing $20,000 more than a year ago for the same monthly mortgage payment."

So why aren't consumers taking advantage of today's attractive financing and lower prices? The weakening labor market is the biggest factor, says Mike Larson of Weiss Research.

From Larson's report on the pending home sales figures:

I've been saying for a while here, it really does all come back to the job market. And the latest evidence suggests we're seeing little relief on that front. Jobless claims are rising sharply and layoff announcements are coming fast and furious. The dramatic decline in consumer confidence doesn't help, either. Nor does the deflationary psychology that haunts home buyer's dreams these days. Those forces are offsetting any positive benefit from rising affordability.

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We must endure a period of deflation to reset the markets, pay off debt, increase savings, revert to a cash economy and in essence recover from our economic hangovers!!! At this time we can reminesce about our credit party using our cards as lethal weapons shouting "Charge It!!!" at the top of our lungs while embibing on free pens, calendars, notepads, lunches, trips, lines of credit loans, and things which would make Caligula blush!!! Yes, it sure was a great party and like all parties, we dare not remember the consequences,losses nor embarassments yet must clean the mess and vow to repent and never, never repeat till we get another chance!!! Deflation is the logical conclusion to an economic blow-out party!!!

Ray Fisher of NM 4:19PM March 03, 2009

"are not done going down".

Perhaps not, but i'm not sure we are far from the bottom. Houses in many areas are currently being priced below replacement value.

Obviously this is bad news for the home builders, but if you can't build a house for what you can buy one for (and the land is free). That tells me we are close to a bottom.

Gus of CA 1:58PM March 03, 2009

are not done going down.

Muser of NM 12:49PM March 03, 2009

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