Road-Testing Cars of the Future

6 cutting-edge vehicles hint at what Americans may soon be driving

March 20, 2009 RSS Feed Print
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[See 10 cars that sank Detroit.]

That's a key lesson. Engineers at Honda and other automakers say that for new technology to catch on, familiarity is vital. A few buyers might be willing to learn new habits or accept trade-offs, but mainstream drivers just want to get in and go. The Clarity lets them. It holds four comfortably, with a big trunk, and has the luxury features of an Acura RL. It can travel up to 280 miles on a tank of hydrogen, at a cost per mile that's less than half that of gasoline. The fuel is even self-serve.

But the Clarity is still a costly experiment that's a long way from most highways. The drivers in Honda's test program pay about $600 a month to lease the Clarity, but that's a fraction of the car's real costs. That's because some of the fuel-cell components are still fairly exotic. "We need to reduce cost by a factor of 10, over 10 years," says Ben Knight, Honda's North American research and development chief. "That puts it into the range of conventional vehicles."

There are other problems. Hydrogen needs to be shipped and stored under pressure, which would require a new nationwide network of filling stations. There are a few hydrogen stations scattered around Southern California and other regions, but making the fuel widely available would probably require a massive program subsidized by the federal government. GM, Ford, Toyota, and other automakers have hydrogen programs too, and if the technology catches on, their combined might could sway Washington. But many politicians still favor the oil economy, and with Washington spending trillions of dollars to combat the recession, funding for other huge projects is likely to be scarce.

BMW Hydrogen 7. BMW's hydrogen strategy is different from Honda's. Instead of channeling hydrogen to a fuel cell, this modified 7-series sedan burns it in the same internal-combustion engine that burns gas. The car has two fuel tanks, two fuel doors, and two fuel gauges on the dash. There's a button on the steering wheel, labeled H2, that toggles between fuels when you push it, sending either hydrogen or gasoline into the cylinders. The dual setup entails lots of compromises, like reduced engine power and limited storage. And the Hydrogen 7 isn't perfectly clean; it emits trace amounts of nitrous oxide, enough to displease hard-core environmentalists.

[See 6 upsides to a GM bankruptcy.]

BMW points out that the Hydrogen 7, which is a demonstration car not available for sale or lease, is meant as a half-measure until hydrogen is widely available. Meanwhile, the car highlights a few adaptations that drivers will have to make. When the car is running on hydrogen, for instance, the trip computer expresses fuel economy as kilograms per 100 kilometers. In normal driving, the Hydrogen 7 averages about 3.5 kilograms per 100 kilometers—roughly 30 miles per gallon. Government regulators are still working on standardized ways to measure hydrogen, including fuel efficiency and even how to price it.

Chevrolet Volt. Will the electric car save GM? Will it run as advertised, without epic breakdowns? Will anybody even buy it? In 100 years of automotive history, there may never have been an unproven vehicle with so much riding on it. "If they pull it off, they will have leapfrogged Toyota," predicts William Holstein, author of the new book Why GM Matters.

Here's the scheme: Drivers will charge the Volt at home, from a regular outlet, like a laptop or cellphone. The car's lithium-ion battery will power the car for up to 40 miles without any gasoline or tailpipe emissions. If you need to drive farther, a small gas engine will power the motor, ensuring that drivers don't suffer from "range anxiety." GM says that charging the car at home will cost less than $1 per day and drain less energy than it takes to run a refrigerator.

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POOP IS AWSOME

poop of WA 5:29PM January 04, 2010

Hell will happen. For writers to use the word as if it meant little is for them to misuse what is very real in the future for every ungodly person. Running cars takes and causes heat. Hell will be very hot indeed. Passengers in autos want to be comfortable and safe. It's good to dream about how this can best be accomplished in a land of the free and home of the brave. Hopefully it will be in autos or other vehicles made in the U.S.A. And by companies owned by free citizens of the land.

Ray Downen of MO 8:08PM August 31, 2009

1) The US is the largest supplier of the oil we use, the two top foriegn suppliers are Canada and Mexico

2) You can't use Solar PV to charge your Volt overnight, so no matter how you slice it, a Volt will be primarily a COAL powered vehicle.

3) Someone who only drives 5,000 miles per year will never come close to saving enough in gas, even at $4/gal to pay the $8,000 premium over a Prius ($15,500 premium without Tax Rebate)

Someone who drives 80 miles per day, would put nearly 30,000 miles per year on the car. Even so after 5 years and 150,000 miles, they would still be ahead by over $5,000 by driving a 45mpg Prius at $3/gal.

While people might buy the Volt to make a statement such as: "I prefer a Coal Powered Car" or "Not Zero Emissions, Emissions Somewhere Else", the economics suggest that the Volt needs to come down by about $15,000 to be able to compete with existing Hybrids.

The fact that almost all our Lithium comes from two South American countries pretty much precludes that from happening.

It may not be OPEC in our future, but if we build our tranport future around Lithium Batteries, it will be OLEC.

Arthur Doucette of TN 9:01AM August 15, 2009

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