5 Numbers That Could Rattle the Recovery

A lagging housing market and rising fuel prices are adding to worries about the economy

April 7, 2011 RSS Feed Print
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[See One Sign the Housing Bust Could End Soon.]

The downward spiral of home prices seems to have slowed somewhat, says Diane Swonk, chief economist at Chicago-based Mesirow Financial, but the real concern is the potential for continued downward pressure on prices. "It's creating a vicious cycle," she says. "As the foreclosures that were delayed last fall come into the market, it's pushing prices down further. It's very hard for buyers and sellers alike to want to get into a market where they don't know what the price is going to be in four weeks time."

2.1 percent. Despite news of rising prices in nearly every other part of the world, at 2.1 percent, inflation in the United States remains fairly low. Nevertheless, economists say the economic climate is right for inflation to start ramping up, and it could happen fast.

"The threat is more directional," Luschini says. "It's that we've gone from concerns of deflation to now experiencing some minor month-over-month increases in inflation, which while still low, from an observation standpoint are threatening to become something more untoward. It's setting up for the prospects of inflation becoming problematic."

Twitter: @mmhandley

Tags:
recession,
economy

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I keep getting annoyed when columnists refer to "the Recovery" like it is a law of nature. Just because a certain cycle occurred in the past, that doesn't mean that the cycle has to repeat in the future.

Here is the new business cycle: oil- which is declining in worldwide output- creeps up in price as economic output increases and pushes oil to its maximum possilbe output. Once oil output cannot keep up with needs it increases dramatically in price until a recession occurs. After the new recession, economic activity starts creeping up again- never reaching the previous high- until limitations on oil output smack down the 'recovery' again. This 'recovery' will never get us back to early 2008 levels before the next oil triggered recession occurs. Repeat cycle until we all know what happens.

John D of VA 5:18PM April 15, 2011

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blucoco of AL 2:55AM April 13, 2011

The most important number may be left out: The % of American's with unrealistic expectations. A lot less now that a decade ago, I'll bet.

awakeandsurvive of GA 9:44AM April 09, 2011

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