A New Era For Stocks

This could be the end of a long, good run

July 6, 2009 RSS Feed Print
  • Comment (3)

With the onset of boomer retirement, pension funds would face some tough choices in a weaker market. The funds—the aircraft carriers of the financial fleet—are already wrestling with the troubling prospect that returns may not be as generous as they had hoped. That could spawn more risk-taking by funds, not less. MIT's Lo, who manages a hedge fund, says many will return to hedge funds, private equity, and other alternative investments in a scramble to boost their returns. He predicts a wave of money pouring out of mundane stocks and bonds and into riskier assets that promise higher returns will add another strain to stocks. "Over the next year or two, we may see more financial market gyrations because of these assets sloshing around from one segment of the investment industry to another," he says.

A more rational view of risk. In some ways, a tamer stock market could be a good thing. There is a sort of indirect benefit from an end to equity mania. For companies, reliance on funding outside of the stock market could mean less frantic scrambling to manage their businesses under the yoke of unrealistic pressure to meet quarterly earnings projections. For everyday investors, a realization that the idea of equities producing highly stable profits is simply naive will hopefully prompt more Americans to rethink debt and risk.

Tags:
recession,
Wall Street,
investing

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Are you old enuf, to remember when an INTERMEDIATE Trend was about six months long?

A poster mentions trading mentality. How about THEFT? Seems to me that the keys to the Kingdom have passed to the "Financial Innovators" [read thieves].

And this is what we now export to the rest of the world? CHINA is no doubt thrilled, but we do owe soooo much we have mucho leverage. Sad.

Trying to make a buck has been harder and harder, but hey, I fight back. So might you, try this:

http://denaliguidesummit.blogspot.com/

denaliguide of AK 2:52PM July 14, 2009

An article like this bodes well for stocks. Classic contrary indicator. Time headline "End of Equities" was followed by the greatest bull market in history. It is impossible to predict the future. Don't write articles that will sway peoples investment decisions.

Tom of IL 10:47AM July 10, 2009

Other than perhaps screwing China on yields for all the U.S. Treasury Bonds they bought, WHY (once again) is is "good" to have interest rates held too low too long?

Would you not be better off with your banks paying you a decent return (say 6 percent) on your CDs in savings? Rather than having endless funny-money "intervention" by the Fed, allowing banks to borrow from you for little to nothing AND STILL CHARGE 12-32% ON CREDIT CARDS?

Is it just me, or does anyone else believe that the nature of the stock market is changing altogether by the race to replace mutual funds with ETFs? Are we seeing a shift to a complete "trading" mentality where the market goes nowhere but you are out-traded on a daily basis anyway? And how about all these leveraged (x3) ETF's, many of which (like FAZ and TZA) are there to trade against you with "short" positions?

Muser of NM 8:49PM July 07, 2009

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