What Happens After QE2 Ends?

The Fed’s highly controversial QE2 program is scheduled to end in June

March 15, 2011 RSS Feed Print
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[See What's Next for Gold?]

Soaring food prices have become a concern in emerging markets like China, India, and Brazil. Critics place some of the blame for higher food prices on the Fed's program, and they're worried that the end of QE2 may not be enough to stem rising inflation abroad. If the Fed decides to end its easing programs, one thing will remain the same: The Fed funds rate is still set at virtually zero, where it's been since December 2008. "[Fed] policy is still going to be easy, and that's probably not going to be helpful for the dollar, and it's probably not going to put a cap on commodity prices, unless the world economy starts having a downturn," Gelfond says. The dollar remains the world's reserve currency—meaning that many commodities throughout the world are priced in dollars—and a weak dollar has effects throughout the world, Gelfond says. He says a stronger dollar could help slow some inflationary pressures throughout the world.

Twitter: @benbaden

Tags:
recession,
investing,
Ben Bernanke,
Federal Reserve,
economic stimulus

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I read your article and I want to say that there are a few issues when it comes to the distribution of goods. Most people overlook a very vital aspect of prices. Not only does it denote the "value" of a good, but it is a signal of its demand and supply. Prices go up and down, not just because of corporate whim, but in response to supply and demand. An economy that is based on the lack of prices will find that demand is unlimited, and will lead to shortages and mass scarcity. Additionally, a "as needed" basis of distribution fails to look at the incentive of the supplier to actually supply goods. If a "supplier" exists, why should I invest in the enterprise of supplying things if I can be an "as needed" consumer.

What is honestly wrong with the monetary system is that we ascribe value to sheets of paper that are monopolized by a single printer (namely the Federal Reserve). When people stated that gold standard had problem, it wasn't due to the nature of gold itself, but to the printing of the dollar representation of gold.

Bretton woods broke down not because it was flawed, but because it was too strict. The influx of printed dollars to fund activities that gold alone could not pay for lead to a bubble that collasped. The bubble is created by the artificial tampering of the marketplace by raising and lowering interest rates and the supply of dollars without acknowledgement of the scarcity of the goods (gold or silver) that were to back the dollar.

Honestly, the price of gold in recent times is a reflection of this. Although it is no longer currency for the us and most of the world, its reaction to inflation is still the same (in general rises with inflation, falls with deflation -- a store of value through time when adjusted).

I'm not a blind advocate of the gold standard, but what is needed is stable currency. Gold standard was not stable due to the greed of those who needed to wage wars, create social welfare programs, and finally corporate welfare programs.

Under a gold standard, it would be impossible to spend beyond your means except by deception, but bubbles would still erupt. Now under fiat currency, we can fund everything we want, but at expense to the political stability of a country, and the mis-allocations of the market place.

Using Money is better than relying on ad hoc supply and distribution controls (emphasis on control). It leads to the use of force to create prosperity which means tyranny. Monetary systems work when you remove coercive facets from the economy (gov't structures that dictate rather than create transparent marketplaces, etc.)

Matthew Blackmon of NC 4:16PM August 19, 2011

Manufacturing, manufacturing and manufacturing. Ancillary, ancillary and ancillary manufacturing. Jobs, jobs and jobs.

Makooch of IL 1:17PM August 07, 2011

Several decades ago, Margaret Thatcher claimed: "There is no alternative". She was referring to capitalism. Today, this negative attitude still persists.

I would like to offer an alternative to capitalism for the American people to consider. Please click on the following link. It will take you to an essay titled: "Home of the Brave?" which was published by the Athenaeum Library of Philosophy:

http://evans-experientialism.freewebspace.com/steinsvold.htm

John Steinsvold

John Steinsvold of NY 10:28PM June 30, 2011

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